Col. of Charleston
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
711  Victoria Churchill JR 21:13
889  Carlee Cassidy SR 21:25
1,052  Ellen Feringa SO 21:35
1,774  Marissa Small-Towns JR 22:19
1,905  Cara Butcher SR 22:28
2,264  Hannah Lopez JR 22:51
2,451  Emma Jennings SO 23:05
2,878  Elizabeth Parrish SO 23:55
3,035  Mary Brelsford SR 24:20
3,274  Kallie Golicher JR 25:16
3,285  Jace Kosiorek SO 25:20
3,351  Madeline Nelson SO 25:41
National Rank #177 of 344
Southeast Region Rank #22 of 50
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 21st at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 18.7%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Victoria Churchill Carlee Cassidy Ellen Feringa Marissa Small-Towns Cara Butcher Hannah Lopez Emma Jennings Elizabeth Parrish Mary Brelsford Kallie Golicher Jace Kosiorek
Furman Classic 09/10 1194 20:59 21:21 21:15 22:10 22:52 23:24 24:19 24:33 24:54
adidas Challenge 09/16 1219 21:10 21:21 21:29 22:07 23:14 22:57 24:02 24:20 25:15 26:00
Royals Challenge 10/07 21:23 21:30 24:36
High Point Vert Invitational 10/14 1202 21:12 21:21 21:18 22:10 22:23 22:45 23:07 23:59 24:20 27:04 25:15
Colonial Athletic Conference 10/29 1241 21:18 21:30 21:57 22:46 22:41 23:14 22:56
Southeast Region Champioinships 11/11 1224 21:03 21:28 21:36 22:26 23:17 23:02 24:30





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 22.4 654 0.2 0.4 1.6 5.3 11.3 20.0 19.0 14.2 11.8 7.2 4.6 2.6 1.6 0.5 0.1



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Victoria Churchill 77.4 0.1 0.1 0.1
Carlee Cassidy 97.3
Ellen Feringa 115.0
Marissa Small-Towns 174.5
Cara Butcher 186.4
Hannah Lopez 215.2
Emma Jennings 229.9




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 0.2% 0.2 16
17 0.4% 0.4 17
18 1.6% 1.6 18
19 5.3% 5.3 19
20 11.3% 11.3 20
21 20.0% 20.0 21
22 19.0% 19.0 22
23 14.2% 14.2 23
24 11.8% 11.8 24
25 7.2% 7.2 25
26 4.6% 4.6 26
27 2.6% 2.6 27
28 1.6% 1.6 28
29 0.5% 0.5 29
30 0.1% 0.1 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
49 49
50 50
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Clemson 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 1.0